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Future Technology Blogs



 
April 19, 2010 NASA's New Vision Under Obama

I'm glad to hear that Obama is actually injecting NASA's future manned spaceflight vision with a little hope. I was getting very worried that his scrapping of the previous administration's manned "Constellation Project" missions was going to really jeopardize American manned spaceflight for good....


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Aug. 25, 2009 When will computers be as powerful as the human brain?

The TOP500 lists Los Alamos’s IBM Roadrunner as the fastest supercomputer on the planet. It was designed to model the decay of the U.S. nuclear arsenal....


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July 10, 2008 Far Future Technology, Part 3

...continued from Far Future Technology, Part 2

Type 3

The nature of galaxies had been known for some time when Kardeshev excercised his visionary insights. Galaxies are large collections of stars, dust, gas, planets, etc. We live within the Milky Way galaxy, which is estimated to contain a collection of about 200 billion individual stars that form a roughly flattened spiral structure. Galaxies come in all sorts of sizes and shapes. Ours happens to be on the slightly higher end of the size scale, but there are those that contain on the order of trillions of stars! That's 10 times, or more, massive than ours. Still others are much smaller and in fact our Milky Way has several much smaller "satellite galaxies" orbiting it that contain "only" 10's or 100's of thousands of stars. The most common of the satellite galaxies are the Small and Large Magellanic Clouds. These can be seen in the Southern hemisphere skies with the naked eye and appear to be just that: very dimly lit small clouds in the sky....


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July 10, 2008 Far Future Technology, Part 2

...continued from Far Future Technology, Part 1 

Type 2

As you can imagine by now the next levels on this scale stretch our conception of what it means to consume energy to heights that seem godlike, but Kardeshev did, indeed, go further!...


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July 10, 2008 Far Future Technology, Part 1

I very often wonder what technology would be like in our extremely far future. I'm specifically thinking of time frames more on the order of a thousand years or more.

Most of the interest in future technology always seems to revolve around much closer times, such as 50 years or sooner. This is a bit boring to me. It doesn't take too much imagination to estimate what these technologies would look like. To a certain extent Moore's Law of computer processing can guide our way in suggesting what computing power would be like. Though there are reasons to believe that Moore's Law will go only so far, partially due to the fact that it makes assumptions that may be breaking down soon, such as the scale of integrating microcircuitry within smaller and smaller areas, thus producing more and more processing power. Moore's Law does not take into effect the realities of quantum mechanics at these ever smaller scales and their influence on that microcircuitry. Up to now, this wasn't a concern. Quantum mechanical processes are very much being felt by these nanotechnologies and unless more novel approaches are used, will increasingly do so....


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